Friday, September 23, 2011

Malaysia 13th General Election - High Stake Poker Game Part 2 Hudud Law

In my previous posting I said "I liken the next GE as a gamble in the literal sense. A real high stakes poker game."

That was my expressed view.

Why so?

Those decisions by PM Datuk Seri Najib were indeed gambles on slippery slope. I explain -

1. Ties with the Holy See could cause the loss of Muslim votes.

2. The Parliamentary Select Committee would be seen as bowing and weak leadership vis-a-vis fraudulent demands piggy backed by the opposition.

3. Abolishing the ISA alienates many who see the need for such laws in it's proper implementation.

Those gambles as I also said proved to be winning hands.

What is pertinent is that the opposing players in the first post can be seen to be the "secular" bodies eg fraudulent BERSIH, chauvinistic DAP and dishevelled PKR.

One important player still in the game but very much in low profile is the Islamic party, PAS.

Datuk Seri Anwar will soon be cashing out. Not by his sexual predicaments, more by his own doing, in his own party. That in itself is his biggest downfall. Too many have found out , though never too late, who Anwar Ibrahim really is.

In view of all this, yesterday Datuk Seri Anwar has put his chips "all in" by bringing up the "Hudud" issue and he is gonna lose, big time.

Where is Anwar's support base is a question that begets the reason for this big time loss. Not to mention irreparable damage to DAP ties and Chinese support.

PAS had no choice in this matter, Datuk Seri Anwer had played a hand which has been keeping PAS in the game long before they became a Pakatan.

Islamic PAS and secular DAP has already come out officially their stand on Hudud laws.

There is another possible scenario.

They are going their separate ways, officially. But unofficially they are still in coalition.

After the GE they will still cooperate to form the Govt, Federal or State.

This will be confirmed when they contest one on one with Barisan Nasional, not to split votes.

One can easily call their bluff.

If they really hold dearly to their totally diametrically contrasting issues in their political philosophies, I call upon,

The DAP to pass a no confidence motion against a PKR/PAS led Selangor State Assembly and PKR/PAS to pass the same motion in a DAP led Penang State Assembly.

Selangor State Assembly party representation:

DAP-14 PKR-13 PAS-8 BN-20

Penang State Assembly party representation:

DAP-19 PKR-9 PAS-1 BN-11

How about it Lim Guan Eng/Unker Lim/Karpal?

What say you Datuk Seri Anwar/Tok Guru Nik Aziz?

Another way to win poker....BLUFF.


Malaysia Baru1 said...

**Pakatan’s chances of winning the 13th General Election**

To be sure, this is not the first time that the opposition parties have grouped together to challenge BN. In the 1990 general election, Tengku Razaleigh’s Semangat 46 forged a coalition with other opposition parties and in 1999 DAP, PAS and Keadilan formed Barisan Alternatif to take advantage of public revulsion over Mahathir’s cruel treatment of Anwar.

The 13th general election will be the most watched and anxiously awaited event in the annals of Malaysian political history. Previous general elections have been tame affairs where the result was never in doubt; it was only a matter of how many seats the opposition could wrest away from BN. But the next election will be different as BN faces a real threat of losing power to a united opposition.

Freddie Kevin said...

Malaysia Baru1,

For all intent and purpose it can be said that the opposition did not expect such a result.

If they had, there would have been no issue of who should be the MB Perak.

Remember that even Ngeh had submitted himself as candidate for MB.

As for Anwar, that he was mistreated had been addressed with IGP Rahim Noor jailed for the assault.

My next post is about Anwar shortly.

Yes, the 13 GE will be heatedly contested but I will not be casting my vote if they are to subject me to 3rd world indelible ink practices.

Thank you for your comment. You are always welcome.